Rising interest rates slow housing production

Home News Rising interest rates slow housing production

rising interest ratesWashington D.C.—According to the National Associate of Home Builders (NAHB), rising interest rates and ongoing building material supply chain disruptions that raise construction costs continue to act as significant headwinds on the housing market.

Overall housing starts fell 14.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million units in May from an upwardly revised reading the previous month, according to a report from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau.

According to the NAHB, the May reading of 1.55 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if development kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts decreased 9.2% to a 1.05 million seasonally adjusted annual rate. The multi-family sector, which includes apartment buildings and condos, decreased 23.7% to an annualized 498,000 pace.

“Single-family home building is slowing as the impacts of rising interest rates reduce housing affordability,” said Jerry Konter, chairman of the NAHB, a home builder and developer from Savannah, Ga. “Moreover, construction costs continue to rise, with residential construction materials up 19% from a year ago. As the market weakens due to cyclical factors, the long-term housing deficit will persist and continue to frustrate prospective renters and home buyers.”

According to Robert Dietz, chief economist, NAHB, single-family permits are down 2.5% on a year-to-date basis and home builder confidence has declined for the last six months. “Due to the acceleration in construction activity in recent quarters, housing completions are rising. Single-family completions were up 8.5% in May 2022 compared to May 2021 as inventories rise,” Dietz said.

On a regional and year-to-date basis, combined single-family and multi-family starts are 2.1% higher in the Northeast, 1.2% higher in the Midwest, 12.9% higher in the South and 4.3% higher in the West, according to the NAHB.

Overall permits decreased 7.0% to a 1.7 million unit annualized rate in May. Single-family permits decreased 5.5% to a 1.05 million unit rate. According to the NAHB, this is the lowest pace for single-family permits since July 2020. Multi-family permits decreased 9.4% to an annualized 647,000 pace.

Looking at regional permit data on a year-to-date basis, permits are 8.3% lower in the Northeast, 5.2% higher in the Midwest, 4.6% higher in the South and 1.6% higher in the West.

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